No Oil Baron Left Behind

Subtitle: After Gutenberg: Laughably Apocalyptic

After 1) stripping out the tax changes that would rescind subsidies to the oil companies and use the savings to fund investment in renewable energy sources and 2) again killing a federal mandated, Renewable energy Portfolio Standard, the bill easily passed 86-8 in the Senate, demonstrating without a doubt what is important to the Senate.

And, the House had the same need to be seen as green, while taking care of business in every way. The Energy Bill passed handily, 314-to-100.

2007 Holiday Greetings from Lucasfilm
God, bless the Emperor
Fossil Fuels that I love.

Reuters quotes House Democratic Majority Leader Steny Hoyer as stating the bill was “a historic turning point in America’s energy policy,” because it moves the United States away from its addiction to traditional oil, most of which must be imported, to home-grown renewable energy supplies and promotes energy conservation.

“With this legislation,” said Hoyer, “we will move toward real energy independence that results in a stronger economy.” Those advocates, who were monitoring the policy making, at least, those not dumbstruck by how dirty it got, discovered that it was too late to change the momentum that led to its passage.

For instance, It’s Getting Hot in Here participant Mike Ewall had noted that “what started off as a combination of decent and dirty policies is losing some of its better aspects and picking up dirtier ones.”

Support for clean, renewable energy sources, such as wind and solar were ripped out while the main dirty aspects remained present, to include massive support for inefficient corn-to-ethanol, support for dirtier coal to liquid fuel, and expansion of a nuclear industry liability cap.

The Steep Rise in Fossil Carbon Emissions
Since 1970 carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from U.S. vehicles have gone up 73 percent. Automakers are not doing enough to reduce carbon pollution.

Congress can seem tough by pointing to the fact that the energy bill they passed requires a 35 mpg CAFE by 2020. Of course, there will be those naysayers who will say that even this “triumph” is short shrift.

Who needs solar, geothermal, or wind power if your truck can get 22.2 mpg? Never mind the average light duty vehicle gets 21.6 mpg right now.

Hell, over in Paris, according to the International Energy Agency, the average fuel consumption is 32.1 mpg. But, by golly, we’re Americans, we like our fries honky-tonk style and we certainly don’t need to learn from Europe.

That would be utterly foolish. I wouldn’t be able to sleep at night knowing big oil wasn’t getting the tax breaks they deserve, and, ye gods, even worse, the car in my driveway was a diesel powered European Ford Focus that ticks off 46 miles per gallon.

Why would I drive that when the new energy bill says I won’t have to get 35 mpg until 2020? Wow, talk about progress…

Oil, Our Worst Addiction
Mr. House Democratic Majority Leader, is it true that addicts will commit crimes to support their addiction without regard for whom those crimes might harm?”

Yes, the bill was “a historic turning point”, not because it confronted the direction that the United States continues to take. Congress has chosen to ignore the advice that there still may be time to stop the worst of climate change, which will have disastrous consequence for the American people as well as other populations throughout the world.

The energy bill passed by Congress defeats a goal for survival of life as we know if on the planet, a goal which climate scientists now explain with a set of simple numbers — “2 and 445″ and “25 to 40″.

That’s 2 degrees Celsius, 445 parts per million of carbon dioxide, and a 25-to-40-percent reduction in global-warming gases — a formula, some say, to save the planet from climate change’s severest consequences.

.

Addicted

Rather the bill may become “a historic turning point”, when it becomes evident to our youth concerned with the future of their world that the established power structure is willing to sell out. It is evident that United States Congress, despite the knowledge that they have, will continue to act counter to the interests of the global community.

No one has “done an intervention with” Steny Hoyer. The rhetoric is nice, and it is evident that Congress is indisposed toward action of sufficient import. While people can remain stuck in a Contemplation Stage for long periods of time, we lack the time.

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12 Comments

  1. jcwinnie
    Posted 2007-12-18 at 10:05 pm | Permalink

    Jesse Jenkins reports that Focus the Nation teams “have invited more than 100 members of the House and Senate to come to their campuses and discuss global warming solutions. That means about 400 of them still need to hear from you.”

    Also, in reaction to passage of the dirty energy bill, JJ notes:

    Depending on whose numbers you use, nuclear plants may in fact take more energy to construct, maintain and deconstruct than they generate over their lifetimes, which is to say the EROEI is less than one.

    Wind turbines have an EROEI between 18 and 25, and produce no emissions. Could it be any clearer?

    I am glad that he avoided adding “you farking retards”. That would have been totally unprofessional.

  2. jcwinnie
    Posted 2007-12-19 at 10:16 am | Permalink

    Scott Sklar:

    Everyone in the renewable energy community tried to put a good face on it, but let’s face it — we have a second recent Energy Bill with little support for renewable energy and energy efficiency.

    “Right now,” he goes on to note, “the monied interests are framing the debate and the country is losing.”

    Country, fuels from hell, Scott, try life as we know it on the planet.

    O.K., now try saying it without frothing at the mouth, so much.

    Better, again.

  3. jcwinnie
    Posted 2007-12-19 at 10:26 am | Permalink

    Scott Sklar believes that Senator Harry Reid was right on target when he stated, “Today, America consumes 21 million barrels every single day, most of it from unstable regions of the world. That’s one billion American dollars going overseas — every day — to pay for our oil addiction. Those 21 million barrels we will use today — and the 21 million-plus barrels more we’ll use tomorrow — has created a three-pronged crisis: It threatens our economy, our national security and our environment.”

    The common ground was security, yet what is so insane is their ignoring the warning from their security experts that climate change will cause significant destabilization.

  4. jcwinnie
    Posted 2007-12-19 at 10:56 am | Permalink

    Gristmill contributor Ken Ward provides another testy analysis. Well, not as testy as Joseph Romm can be, mind you, but testy nonetheless. Ward asks, “Have we lost more ground than we gained?”

    Passing an energy bill at any cost made us look weak, reduced climate change urgency, handed a significant victory to President Bush, and accomplished little of significance.

    We opted for scraps, gaining emissions reductions of small significance compared to the global problem, displaying political weakness in place of principled courage, and handing a propaganda victory to a president who is singularly responsible for blocking international climate action.

    The “landmark” hailed by UCS also, in their words, “failed to take a giant step.” NRDC called it a “down payment toward fighting global warming,” and was “disappointed,” and Environment America (formerly the environmental arm of U.S.PIRG) called the measure “historic,” even as they observed, “big oil and big coal succeeded in stripping out … very important parts of the bill.”

  5. jcwinnie
    Posted 2007-12-24 at 3:13 pm | Permalink

    Doktor Karl
    SMH photo: Dr Karl Kruszelnicki in Sydney.

    “Celebrity physicist Karl Kruszelnicki has described clean coal as a ‘complete furphy’ and likened it to Nazi propaganda.”

  6. jcwinnie
    Posted 2007-12-25 at 4:30 pm | Permalink

    The first ghost took reddit commentator orthogonality into the past:

    In that dream, I was making decent money, the US dollar was stronger than the Canadian dollar, and all around the world America was respected as a force for liberty and democracy, for human rights and against torture.

    In my dream, I was able to get on a plane in less than three hours and a strip search, and I wasn’t held against my will for 10 hours on the tarmac. I took the plane to New Orleans, a thriving and diverse city that wasn’t under water.

    On that plane, I sat between a German guy and an Argentinian guy. Both of them told me how lucky I was to be an American, because, unlike them, we Americans when traveling abroad don’t get constant jibes about the atrocities committed by our country’s dictators.

    In my dream, bridges weren’t falling down, basic scientific research wasn’t going unfunded, and the country wasn’t taking out giant loans to pay for an interventionist war and “nation-building” in the Middle East.

    In my dream, no NSA agent tapped my phones, or opened my mail, or tracked which web sites I visited. No cop tasered people with impunity. I didn’t feel that, despite be law-abiding, my life could turn upside down if I pissed off a martinet in a uniform.

    Yes, I dreamed of … 1997, a mere ten years ago.

    I wonder if 18 year olds today even understand what it was like when America was prosperous, and courageous, and free?

  7. jcwinnie
    Posted 2007-12-25 at 4:42 pm | Permalink

    Christmas Greetings
    Jesse Jenkins visualizes “what it must have said on the holiday card delivered today by the White House to ExxonMobil executives along with a nice, fat, $10.3 billion check.”

    The Bush Administration has proposed a change to Interior Department leasing rules that would massively expand the volumes of oil that companies could produce without having to pay any royalties to the federal government for the privilege of drilling on public land. The Bush Administration’s own estimates are that taxpayers could lose up to $10.3 billion over the next 26 years as a result of this rule change.

    The proposed Interior Department rules will result in at least $3 billion in lost revenue for the federal government. However, the losses get much worse if Big Oil wins in an ongoing law suit.

    If the oil industry wins in the currently pending Kerr-McGee Suit, the Interior Department projects that losses to the American taxpayer would soar to $10.3 billion.

    The Bush Administration has not yet appealed a recent Louisiana District Court ruling in the Kerr-McGee case in the oil industry’s favor. The Department of Justice has until December 30 to appeal the ruling. Want to guess whether or not President Bush stands up for you, the American Taxpayer, or with Big Oil?

    These proposed rule changes at Interior come on the heels of a successful effort by the Bush Administration to block Congressional Democrats’ plants to close existing royalty loopholes, like the one expanded by the new proposed Interior Department rule, and end unnecessary subsidies for Big Oil and Gas in order to re-invest federal subsidies into the clean, homegrown renewable energy technologies of the 21st Century.

    President Bush repeatedly issued veto threats targeting any bill that would have re-invested funds from oil and gas in clean energy technologies, arguing that the subsidies – which were created at a time when oil was less than $20/barrel – were still necessary to promote domestic production – despite the fact that oil now trades close to $100/barrel, providing strong market incentives to prospect for new oil sources.

    In the end, Congress passed a stripped-down energy bill that did not include the re-investment plan.

    Just in case you were worried that Old King Coal or the Nuk-ular Industry were feeling left out this Christmas season, rest assured: Senate Republicans also managed to get about $30 billion in risky loan guarantees for new nuclear and extremely carbon-intensive coal-to-liquids plants into the Omnibus Budget Bill passed last week.

  8. jcwinnie
    Posted 2008-1-3 at 5:20 pm | Permalink

    Key milestones in the price of crude oil since 1970.

    On Wednesday, reports RTE, the price of a barrel of light sweet crude, the benchmark oil price in New York, broke through $100 for the first time.

    - 1970: The official price of Saudi crude oil is fixed at $1.80 a barrel.

    37 years… 37 years… Hey, isn’t that about the time between increases in the Corporate Average Fuel Standards?

    For comparison, Fin Facts tells us that the price was at $10.72 in December 1998. At $100 a barre, the price is close to 1980 all-time real dollar high. Oil rose almost 58% last year, the biggest annual gain this decade.

    The falling US dollar boosts demand for dollar-priced commodities such as oil and gold, which also hit a new record of $859 an ounce on Wednesday, breaking the record that had been intact since January 1980 when it hit $850 after the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan and the Iranian revolution.

    The MSNBC spin is that analysts still “don’t expect record-high prices by themselves to send the economy into recession. Expensive as oil is, energy doesn’t consume as big a chunk of Americans’ budget as it did decades ago.” OTOH, “lower-income families feel the effects of price increases most dramatically. With heating oil costs expected to jump 33 percent this winter, according to the Energy Department, families who rely on heating oil will have less money to spend on other things.”

  9. jcwinnie
    Posted 2008-1-5 at 3:04 pm | Permalink

    Shai Agassi

    Speaking of “Laughably Apocalyptic”, at his blog, The Long Tailpipe, Shai Agassi has some sobering information:

    On Jan 3rd 2008 the cost of importing oil to the US was $1.3B a day – roughly 2 weeks worth of oil in 1999 – and if the price point stays where it is the US will see another $500B disappearing from its trade balance in 2008. (My emphasis)

    Adding in the cost of subsidies for the domestic oil industry, the delivery and refining costs of gasoline, the healthcare cost of using it, and the cost of securing oil sources around the world and we are looking at probably the same amount in “externalities” of oil which the US budget loses every year. The combined sum is a staggering ANNUAL Trillion US dollars – roughly the Chinese federal cash reserve.

    Oil, we found out, is neither cheap nor abundant. It is dwindling and [increasingly] hard to extract. The issue at hand is not whether we have enough reserves, but rather whether we have enough of a pipe out of the current reserves to feed the global addiction.

    We have moved from supply side constraints to demand based pricing. As another oil expert explained to me we are at the mid point of oil prices as they move from an equilibrium at $50/bbl to a new level at $150/bbl.

    He had a chilling analysis for the two sides of the oil price spectrum. “…At $50/bbl governments invest in demand; At $150/bbl they secure supply…”. I see that statement as one of the most profound statements I had heard about the oil market and the role government plays in it.

    We have to put our money into easing demand before it is too late. Addicts who wait for the crisis do not recover in the same shape as they were before a stroke or heart attack hit them.

    In the world of oil a heart attack is a global recession, and a stroke is probably global war. We can’t afford either. Only solution to addiction is drying up on the substance.

    We may be too late, but we still need to try – putting more money into oil without putting any money into oil independence will make us dream of days when oil was cheap and abundant – at only $100 a barrel.

  10. jcwinnie
    Posted 2008-1-7 at 5:26 pm | Permalink

    The Biopact team relays a warning from one of Europe’s leading economic institutes, DIW (Deutsches Institute für Wirtschaftsforschung).

    The price of oil could rise to $150 per barrel in five years and $200 in 10 years. Wednesday’s record oil price of $100 per barrel of crude marks this long-term upward trend, no longer merely fueled by speculation but by the growing incapacity of suppliers to meet demand.

    If they materialise, the scenarios could have dramatic consequences on economic development in energy intensive economies in the developing world as well as on transition economies. On the other hand, they would make the mass production of biofuels and coal based synfuels inevitable.

    Because life on the planet as we know it won’t be worth living without Monday Night Football.

    It is the task of economists to analyse medium-term trends in energy prices. [Our] scenarios are plausible and based on sound economic research. This is not about the magic of single numbers for future oil and gas prices. What really matters is whether German and European energy policy has designed preparedness plans to deal with the eventuality of very high energy prices.

    - DIW spokesperson Carel Mohn

    The DIW’s chief for the department of Energy, Transport and Environment, Professor Claudia Kemfert, further clarified the rationale behind the projections:

    Scenarios covering 15 to 20 years are what they are: scenarios that could materialize, but that are meant not to do so, because they allow policy makers to develop counter-measures. Oil is not scarce yet, but will become so, because of rapidly growing demand of booming transition economies. Without a ‘Moving away from Oil’-strategy, economies and societies will be too vulnerable to supply disruptions and high prices.

    Professor Kemfert adds that the most recent surge in oil prices which drove the price to records was due to speculative buying. The share of the oil price attributable to speculation is likely to be around 20 percent today, adding that the price was likely to reach $105 in the coming weeks. But speculation will soon make way for the reality of the growing incapacity of suppliers to physically meet demand. The effects of a possible peak in oil production – signalling the irreversible end to the oil era – could begin to be felt as early as 2020.

  11. jcwinnie
    Posted 2008-1-26 at 6:01 pm | Permalink

    President Bush

    Reuters reports that President Bush says it is on with the show.

    The United States pushed forward with its own agenda on climate change Friday despite criticism that Washington is attempting to undermine the global effort led by the United Nations.

    But, as senior officials outlined, the broad agenda of a meeting the United States is hosting next week in Hawaii — which includes an emphasis on controversial uses of nuclear power and technology to trap emissions from coal plants — they insisted they are simply supplementing the UN process.

  12. jcwinnie
    Posted 2008-3-3 at 11:13 am | Permalink

    An editorial in the NYTimes is refreshingly honest after the fact:

    One of the major shortcomings in last year’s admirable energy bill was its failure to extend vital tax credits to producers of wind, solar and other renewable fuels. This was entirely the doing of the Senate, which caved in to the oil companies and their White House friends.

    The House had approved the credits but insisted — under the Democrats’ pay-as-you-go rules — that they be paid for by eliminating the same amount in tax credits for oil and gas producers. Industry (which is rolling in cash these days) howled, President Bush lofted veto threats, and the Senate caved.

    Well, except for the “admirable energy bill” part, that is.

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